The Likelihood of a UN Security Council Resolution for an Immediate Ceasefire in Gaza

Introduction

With the ongoing conflict in Gaza, the possibility of a UN Security Council resolution calling for an immediate ceasefire is frequently discussed. However, the recent actions and statements from both Israeli and Hamas factions make the likelihood of such a resolution both slim and contentious.

Israel's Stance

Israel maintains a firm stance, determined to complete the job at hand. There is a belief among some that Israel will not be influenced by the pursuit of a ceasefire. Whether Hamas chooses to accept a ceasefire or not, it is clear that Israel has no intention of ceasing its operations anytime soon. The question remains: what is the benefit for Israel in calling for a ceasefire? The primary concern for Israel is the protection of its citizens, and the last thing it needs is a temporary ceasefire that could allow Hamas to reorganize and regroup.

Hamas's Position

Hamas, on the other hand, shows no signs of agreement with the idea of a ceasefire. It has explicitly stated its refusal to engage in any talks or actions that would result in a cessation of hostilities. This firm stance is rooted in the belief that a ceasefire would be a strategic win for Israel, giving it breathing room to consolidate its gains and potentially negotiate from a position of strength. Therefore, unless Hamas is willing to make significant concessions, a ceasefire resolution is highly improbable.

External Influences and Veto Power

The possibility of a ceasefire resolution being passed is further complicated by the presence of a veto power. Russia, one of the five permanent members of the UN Security Council, has historically shown little interest in supporting resolutions that may undermine its strategic interests. Any resolution proposed by the US is likely to be heavily tilted in favor of Israel and would include numerous safeguards designed to protect Israeli interests. Given Russia's stance, it is doubtful that any such resolution would be able to pass.

Humanitarian Concerns and Ethical Considerations

The conflict in Gaza has spilled into a humanitarian crisis, affecting both civilians and children. Certain groups argue that the call for a temporary ceasefire may be motivated by the desire to weaponize hunger and prolong the suffering of civilians. The sniping of children collecting food and the Israeli scums' support from the US adds another layer of ethical concern. Any resolution that moves towards a ceasefire would be illegal according to international laws, as it would directly support the targeting of civilians deemed as "terrorists."

Conclusion

Given the current dynamics and the likely opposition from veto-wielding nations, the likelihood of a UN Security Council resolution calling for an immediate ceasefire is very low. The conflict in Gaza is complex, involving strategic, political, and humanitarian concerns. The pursuit of a permanent and peaceful resolution requires a broader and more nuanced approach that goes beyond simple ceasefire agreements. It is crucial to focus on long-term strategies that address the root causes of the conflict and promote lasting peace and stability in the region.