The Aftermath of Robert and Stannis's De Elimination in A Song of Ice and Fire: A Seismic Shift in Westeros
Introduction to the Setting: The Seven Kingdoms of Westeros are a land of intrigue, power, and legend, shaped by numerous conflicts and betrayals. The sudden elimination of Robert and Stannis Baratheon during the Rebellion of Robert has the potential to redefine not only the political landscape but also the future of Westeros.
In this article, we explore the likely scenarios and implications if Robert and Stannis Baratheon were to be eliminated, leading to the rise of a new Great Council and potential changes in the ruling of Westeros.
Calling the Great Council
With Rhaegar, Aerys, and Aegon dead, the only remaining Targaryen heir is Viserys, but his prospects for regaining the throne are substantially compromised. A regency council would likely be the most immediate and sensible choice to govern the Seven Kingdoms, ensuring a smooth transition. Renly Baratheon, though a formidable candidate, would likely be passed over due to the need to keep Storm's End under Baratheon control and his young age. Reneging on such a valuable stronghold could be a strategic blunder, especially in the current turbulent climate.
Viserys, if returned, would face the challenge of a caretaker regency with a reorganized Small Council to help him until he comes of age. Alternatively, a new line could be chosen from amongst the surviving leaders who won the rebellion, such as the Plumm or Longwaters families. This would not only solidify their control over the throne but also prevent any Targaryen resurgence.
The Fate of Viserys
Considering the absence of Viserys and his sister Daenerys, the rebellion's outcome would likely see them retreating across the Narrow Sea, pursued by Baratheon forces. In this situation, Renly would ascend to the throne. The young Renly would likely choose Jon Arryn as Hand, following his previous support in the rebellion. The selection of the eldest daughter of Ned and Catelyn as the queen would ensure the Baratheon line remains strong. Cersei would be too old, and Margaery, a Tyrell rival, would likely be excluded from the queen's position.
The court would be dominated by Baratheon bannermen and Tyrells. Ser Richard Horpe would be approved as part of the Kingsguard, ensuring the stability of the new ruler. In the event that an heir is born to Renly and his eventual queen, the future would look promising with a promising prince emerging from their union, thus avoiding the potential bloodshed and conflict associated with the War of the Five Kings.
The War of the Greyjoy's
The Greyjoy Rebellion would occur earlier and be more violent. With the major factions focused on securing the throne and their interests, the ironborn, under Lord Vickon Greyjoy, would quickly move to seize control due to the chaotic aftermath of the Rebellion. This would result in a bloodier and faster conflict, reshaping the coastal regions of Westeros.
Cersei, recognizing the political climate, would marry Willas Tyrell to solidify her alliance with the powerful House Tyrell. This would provide both parties with a strategic advantage in the eyes of the other regional powers. Similarly, Sansa Stark would marry Lord Loras Tyrell, strengthening House Stark's ties to the south and creating a defensive alliance against the ironborn.
The political and military landscape would become increasingly volatile, with both houses vying for power and influence. The stability of the Seven Kingdoms would be tested, as the court would be the focal point of various alliances and betrayals.
Timeline 2: Renly's Absence
In a scenario where Renly dies without an heir, the true rightful heir, Aegon Targaryen, who was historically known as the Prince of Dragonstone, would come to the fore. However, revealing his parentage would color Ned Stark as an aspirant uncle seeking to rule through his child. The political race would accelerate as various factions seek to consolidate their power and decide on a new ruler.
Daenerys Targaryen, the true heir, would be the logical choice, but her absence in exile would make finding her a priority. If she were to be brought back, she would likely exercise her rule more aggressively due to her dragon powers and the respect they command. However, as long as her advisors remained influential, her reign would be relatively peaceful, albeit with the occasional conflict between her and her subjects.
The Wall, an essential barrier against the Others, would remain a key point of contention. With the Greyjoys becoming a significant threat, Dany would be drawn to the Wall, where she and her dragons would successfully defeat Mance Rayder and his wildlings. The Wall would likely remain secure under Dany's influence, ensuring the safety of the North and the Seven Kingdoms.
If Jon Snow still feels the need to bolster his position, he could still venture north to claim the role of King in the North, but his role would be primarily defensive until the situation stabilizes. The Walkers, or Night's Watch, would play a crucial role in protecting the realm from the Others, especially if Dany's rule shifts focus eastward.
Conclusion
The elimination of Robert and Stannis Baratheon during the Rebellion of Robert has the potential to recalibrate the political and military balance of power in Westeros. The subsequent Great Council, decisions on the succession, and the early Greyjoy Rebellion would all significantly shape the upcoming years in the realm. Whether through a regency council overseeing Viserys, a new line taking the throne, or Dany’s return, the future of Westeros is fraught with challenges and potential for new alliances and conflicts.
As the struggle for power continues, the Seven Kingdoms will undoubtedly see a period of intense change and upheaval. The balance of power will be redefined, and the true heir will play a central role in this new chapter of Westerosi history.