Serbia's Dilemma: EU or Russia?

Recent media coverage in Serbian newspapers has suggested that the Serbian people's preference for aligning with the European Union (EU) or remaining closer to the Russian Federation is becoming increasingly clear. This decision is not only about choosing political allies but also about economic and strategic partnerships.

EU Expansion: A Vision for Continuous Territory

Joining the European Union would be a smart move for Serbia. Should it eventually gain acceptance from the EU, the Serbian populace and the government would be able to participate more fully in the decision-making processes of the Union. This is particularly relevant given Serbia's geographical position, which is centrally located in the EU with neighbors to the north, south, east, and west.

The Balkan region, including Serbia, currently faces the challenge of being partially integrated within the EU structure, which creates a rather disjointed and less cohesive union. If all Western Balkan countries were to join, the EU would no longer have a gaping hole in its southern flank, providing a more unified and unbroken territory. This could be beneficial to the EU in terms of enhanced security and continuity, and it would also offer Serbia greater economic and political leverage within the EU.

Strategic Association with Russia

While relations with the Russian Federation are indeed cordial, the idea of Serbian membership in the Russian-led customs union is rather unfeasible. It would be an impractical step for Serbia, akin to aligning with nations such as Japan, Canada, or Egypt, which share little in common with its current geopolitical and economic landscape.

Serbia's Path Forward

In the face of this dilemma, Serbia has adopted a pragmatic and strategic approach. It is moving forward with its EU aspirations while maintaining strong, yet carefully balanced, relations with its neighbors, including Russia. This delicate balance is necessary to ensure short-term benefits and long-term stability for Serbia.

For example, Serbia's relationship with Bosnia and Herzegovina, the former Yugoslavia, has seen its share of tension and conflict. However, under the current leadership, there is a commitment to maintaining peace and cooperation. This is not dissimilar to the relationship between Serbia and Hungary, as illustrated by the support from Alexander Vu?i? and Viktor Orbán, who are akin to historical figures like Willy Brandt and Fran?ois Mitterrand in terms of their approach to diplomacy and reconciliation.

While maintaining historical alliances and good relations with Russia is vital, the need to respect historical tensions and avoid compromising sovereignty is equally crucial. Serbia's choice to align more closely with the EU is a rational decision, given the benefits in terms of economic integration, security, and the ability to influence decision-making within the Union.

In conclusion, both paths - EU and Russia - have their merits, but the pragmatic and long-term vision for Serbia is clear: it moves closer to the European Union, while keeping other strategic partnerships intact.