Cyclone Tauktae: Forecast, Impact, and Preparedness

Introduction

Cyclone Tauktae, which formed in May 2021, poses a significant threat to the western coast of India. As a powerful storm, it has already impacted multiple Indian states and is expected to continue making landfall in the Saurashtra and Kathiawar regions of Gujarat. This article provides a detailed overview of the forecast, impact, and preparedness measures in light of the impending danger.

Current Condition and Forecast

As of the latest updates, Cyclone Tauktae has transformed from a cyclonic storm into a severe cyclonic storm. The exact time and location of landfall are critical concerns, with the storm likely to make its first landfall at Una in Gujarat, near the Diu part of the Union Territory of Daman and Diu. This region, along with the Saurashtra and Kathiawar areas of Gujarat, and the Union Territory of Daman and Diu, is most at risk.

The entire western coast of India and adjacent territories are also under threat. This includes Kushabhoomi (Kerala), Kannada (Karnataka), Goa, Maharashtra, Gujarat, and the aforementioned UTs of Daman and Diu and Dadra and Nagar Haveli. It's crucial for residents in these areas to take precautionary measures and stay informed about the storm's movement and intensity.

History and Pattern of Cyclones

Recent years have seen a concerning trend of increasing frequency of strong cyclones developing in the Arabian Sea. Cyclone Tauktae is the fourth cyclone to form in consecutive years in the Arabian Sea, and it is the first pre-monsoon cyclone to have formed in 2021. This continuous threat demands heightened vigilance and preparedness.

Notably, both the first cyclones of 2020 and 2021 formed in the Arabian Sea during the pre-monsoon period, falling under the Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) category. This trend highlights the need for robust emergency response plans and community awareness programs.

Preparedness Measures

Recognizing the impending danger, the National Disaster Response Force (NDRF) has deployed 100 teams across coastal regions, including Gujarat, Maharashtra, Goa, Kerala, Karnataka, and Tamil Nadu. These teams are equipped to handle the immediate needs of affected populations.

Given the rapid intensification of Cyclone Tauktae, it is crucial to be prepared. The storm is projected to gain strength at a rapid pace and is expected to reach the Gujarat coast between 8 PM to 11 PM IST on May 17. It will cross Gujarat coast between Porbandar and Bhavnagar district, with a maximum sustained wind speed of 155-165 kmph gusting to 185 kmph. This intense wind speed poses a significant risk to infrastructure and human life.

Conclusion

Cyclone Tauktae presents a substantial challenge to the western coast of India, with the potential for extensive damage and disruption. Residents in the affected areas are advised to stay informed and take appropriate precautions to ensure their safety. The continuous efforts of emergency management teams and the public's preparedness are crucial in mitigating the impact of such extreme weather events.