BJP and the 2019 Lok Sabha Elections: Winning Majority by Ideological Propositions

The recent body language and pessimistic comments from opposition leaders reveal a sense of inevitability regarding the outcome of the 2019 Lok Sabha Elections. With four rounds of preliminary contests, the opposition has recognized that power is no longer within their grasp. This article will delve into the various factors that point to BJP potentially achieving a majority in the upcoming elections, both through its own strength and external dynamics.

BJP’s Current Position and Future Prospects

BJP is likely to secure a majority without the need for external assistance. However, even in a worst-case scenario, where its allies in the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) provide only partial support, BJP has the capacity to form the government. The real rulers, as interpreted here, are the bureaucrats of the past, present, and future. While Prime Minister Narendra Modi has managed significant issues like the procurement of the Rafale aircraft, it is important to note that absolute majority is not guaranteed and the situation is likely to remain as usual.

Confidence in BJP’s Victory

BJP's victory is not merely a matter of political strategy but also a reflection of historical and social dynamics. India's struggle with English people for 150 years has brought another opportunity for the nation to reassert itself. This time, it is the turn of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to take the helm, and the Congress party’s failure to capitalize on previous opportunities does not bode well for its comeback. With a strong belief that if God exists, BJP will win, the party is positioned to secure a significant mandate in the elections.

External Forces and Voting Dynamics

Several external forces are also at play in the upcoming elections. For instance, in Karnataka, Congress party leaders are reported to be spending substantial amounts (between 50 to 100 crores, or around 60 to 120 million USD) per constituency. These financial outlays can significantly influence voter behavior. The ideological narrative propagated by BJP, which positions Narendra Modi as the sole figure capable of propelling India towards development, has a strong appeal to those in rural areas who tend to support the right-wing party. However, urban voters have more mixed opinions.

The claim that the Gujrat development model has not been a panacea for broader national development is an important point to consider. While India has achieved significant diplomatic milestones under BJP's leadership between 2014 and 2019, such as enhanced international relations, the domestic development narrative does not present a clear story of progress. The emotional context surrounding the Pulwama attacks and the swift response from the Indian Air Force have created a favorable political narrative for BJP. The party leverages this for re-election and is optimistic about winning a substantial majority.

Conclusion

The upcoming 2019 Lok Sabha Elections present a clear path for BJP to achieve a majority. This victory can be attributed to the ideological sway of the party, the effective use of external financial resources, and the emotional and political narratives that BJP has been able to craft. Despite challenges and external pressures, BJP remains confident in securing a strong mandate in the elections.